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Hurricane BLANCA (Text)


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HURRICANE BLANCA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
1200 AM MDT SAT JUN 06 2015

...BLANCA MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR ON SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1200 AM MDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 108.6W
ABOUT 340 MI...545 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 465 MI...745 KM S OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* La Paz to Santa Fe Mexico, including Cabo San Lucas

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1200 AM MDT (0600 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Blanca was located
near latitude 16.3 North, longitude 108.6 West.  Blanca is moving
toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue through Saturday.  A turn toward the north-
northwest is forecast by Saturday evening.  On the forecast track,
the center of Blanca will approach the southern Baja California
peninsula on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher
gusts.  No significant change in strength is expected through
Saturday.  Weakening is forecast Saturday night and Sunday, and
Blanca should weaken to a tropical storm as it approaches the
southern Baja California peninsula.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 195
miles (315 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
by Sunday morning.

SURF:  Swells generated by Blanca are affecting the coast of
southwestern Mexico, the Pacific coast of the Baja California
peninsula, and the southern Gulf of California.  These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
For additional information, please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

NNNN

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Page last modified: Thursday, 31-Dec-2015 12:09:31 UTC