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Tropical Storm BLANCA (Text)


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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BLANCA ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
300 PM MDT SUN JUN 07 2015

...BLANCA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.3N 111.0W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has discontinued the Hurricane Watch from
Cabo San Lucas to Santa Fe.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Loreto to Punta Abreojos, including Cabo San Lucas

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of Loreto to Mulege

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Blanca was
located near latitude 21.3 North, longitude 111.0 West.  Blanca is
moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of
days.  On the forecast track, the center of Blanca will approach the
southwest coast of the Baja California peninsula later today, and
move near or along the coast tonight and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 70 mph (110 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48
hours, and Blanca is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression
by Monday afternoon or evening.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center.  A sustained wind of 46 mph (74 km/h) was reported
at the Cabo San Lucas International Airport about two hours ago.

The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Hurricane
Hunter data is 980 mb (28.94 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are occurring over the southern
portion of the warning area.  Tropical storm conditions should
spread northward elsewhere within the warning area later today and
Monday.

RAINFALL:  Blanca is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches over much of Baja California Sur and the southern half
of the state of Baja California, with isolated maximum amounts of 10
inches over Baja California Sur.  These rains could produce
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.  Rainfall associated
with Blanca may begin to affect portions of the southwestern United
States on Tuesday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Blanca are affecting the coast of
southwestern Mexico, the Pacific coast of the Baja California
peninsula, and the southern Gulf of California.  These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip currents.  For
additional information, please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 600 PM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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Page last modified: Thursday, 31-Dec-2015 12:09:31 UTC