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HURRICANE BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
1500 UTC SAT JUN 06 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LUCAS TO SANTA FE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA PAZ TO SANTA FE...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO
* NORTH OF SANTA FE TO CABO SAN LAZARO

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 109.4W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  943 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  90SE  90SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 130SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 330SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 109.4W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 109.2W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.8N 110.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.5N 110.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 22.5N 111.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 24.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 28.5N 113.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 109.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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