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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122015
0300 UTC MON NOV 09 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND FOR THE ACKLINS,
SAMANA CAYS...CROOKED ISLAND...AND LONG CAY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE ACKLINS...SAMANA CAYS...CROOKED ISLAND...AND LONG CAY IN
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* NORTHWEST BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  73.0W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  73.0W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  72.4W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.0N  74.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.2N  76.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 29.1N  75.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 32.2N  71.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW AND FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N  73.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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