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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
200 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 25.7W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NW OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 25.7 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected later today.  On the forecast track,
the center of Fred will continue to move away from the northwestern
Cape Verde Islands today.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next
few hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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