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HURRICANE DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042015
1500 UTC THU AUG 20 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  44.8W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 70SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  44.8W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  44.4W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 13.1N  46.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 14.0N  47.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 14.7N  49.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.2N  51.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.0N  56.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 16.9N  61.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 18.0N  66.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N  44.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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