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TROPICAL STORM BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022015
0300 UTC WED JUN 17 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF PORT
O'CONNOR.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT O'CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS TEXAS

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  97.0W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE 130SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  97.0W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  96.9W

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 31.0N  97.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 33.2N  97.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 34.8N  96.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 35.5N  94.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 37.5N  90.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N  97.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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