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TROPICAL STORM BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022015
2100 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF PORT
ARANSAS AND NORTH OF SAN LUIS PASS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT ARANSAS TO SAN LUIS PASS TEXAS

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  96.8W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  96.8W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  96.7W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.9N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 32.0N  97.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 33.6N  97.1W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 34.7N  95.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 36.7N  92.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 39.0N  86.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N  96.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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