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Tropical Storm VANCE (Text)

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 PM PDT SAT NOV 01 2014

...VANCE SLOWLY ORGANIZING AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...10.1N 104.4W
ABOUT 615 MI...990 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.4 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. A
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED
SUNDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND VANCE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

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