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Tropical Storm SIMON (Text)

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SIMON ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192014
200 PM PDT FRI OCT 03 2014

...SIMON STRENGTHENING AS IT APPROACHES SOCORRO ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...18.8N 110.6W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM E OF SOCORRO ISLAND
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SIMON WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.6 WEST. SIMON IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF SIMON WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER SOCORRO
ISLAND DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS...AND SIMON IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE
TONIGHT OR SATURDAY.

SATELLITE WIND DATA INDICATE THAT SIMON IS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.33 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...SIMON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 8 INCHES THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT ACROSS COLIMA...WESTERN JALISCO...NAYARIT...SOUTHERN
SINALOA...AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN WESTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO.  THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

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