ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192014 200 PM PDT WED OCT 01 2014 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTH OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.3N 104.4W ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 525 MI...845 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.4 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/H...AND A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE WILL PASS WELL OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION WILL PRODUCE ISOLATED HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH THURSDAY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN NNNN
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