ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182014 0900 UTC THU SEP 25 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 108.6W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 108.6W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 108.1W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.8N 110.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.8N 112.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.7N 113.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.5N 114.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.0N 115.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 22.0N 115.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 23.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 108.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Wednesday, 31-Dec-2014 12:09:56 UTC