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Tropical Depression KARINA (Text)

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA DISCUSSION NUMBER  53
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
800 PM PDT MON AUG 25 2014

The upper-level outflow from Hurricane Marie continues to strongly
shear Karina, though a persistent area of deep convection continues
in the western quadrant of the cyclone.  The initial intensity
remains 30 kt as a blend of satellite intensity estimates from TAFB
and SAB.  Due to the ongoing shear, Karina is expected to degenerate
into a remnant low in about 12 hours, and then be absorbed into
the much larger Marie in 24-36 hours.

The initial motion is 095/4.  A general east-southeastward motion
with some increase in forward speed is expected until the cyclone
is absorbed.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  26/0300Z 17.2N 127.3W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  26/1200Z 16.9N 126.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  27/0000Z 16.4N 125.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  27/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

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