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Hurricane GONZALO (Text)

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
500 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

...GONZALO RACING PAST CAPE RACE...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...46.3N 52.9W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 52 MPH...83 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 46.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.9 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 52 MPH...83 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS
FORECAST TONIGHT...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. GONZALO WILL MOVE QUICKLY AWAY FROM NEWFOUNDLAND THIS
MORNING AND THEN RACE ACROSS THE OPEN NORTH ATLANTIC DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER
TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM. THE LARGEST EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS IS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. CAPE RACE
NEWFOUNDLAND RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 38 MPH...61
KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 51 MPH...82 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB...28.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA IN NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

SURF...COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS THREAT...
PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM ENVIRONMENT CANADA.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE
UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH
TODAY. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

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