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Hurricane GONZALO (Text)

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HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
2100 UTC TUE OCT 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GONZALO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  66.0W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  66.0W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  65.6W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.5N  67.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.0N  68.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.4N  68.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 27.2N  68.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 32.0N  65.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 39.9N  60.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 49.0N  50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N  66.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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