| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Tropical Storm FAY (Text)

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072014
800 AM AST SUN OCT 12 2014

...FAY LASHES BERMUDA WITH GUSTS TO 82 MPH...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.4N 63.9W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM NNE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.9 WEST. FAY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...31 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED
LATER THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST
AND A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED BY TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA
TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. FAY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER. BERMUDA REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 61 MPH...98
KM/H...AND A WIND GUST TO 82 MPH...132 KM/H...A COUPLE OF HOURS AGO
AS THE CENTER OF FAY WAS MOVING BY THE ISLAND.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
FROM BERMUDA IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER BERMUDA THROUGH
THIS MORNING.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER BERMUDA DURING
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

RAINFALL...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS BERMUDA.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY FAY WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH-FACING SHORES OF BERMUDA THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

NNNN