| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Tropical Storm SONIA (Text)

ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SONIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  12A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182013
1000 PM PST SUN NOV 03 2013
 
...SONIA APPROACHING THE COAST OF SINALOA MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM PST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.0N 107.8W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SSW OF CULIACAN MEXICO
ABOUT 115 MI...180 KM WNW OF MAZATLAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAZATLAN TO ALTATA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN WEST-CENTRAL MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF SONIA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM PST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SONIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.8 WEST.  SONIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF SONIA SHOULD REACH THE COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER SONIA MOVES INLAND DURING
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  SONIA IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER MEXICO ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA
AND POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
 
RAINFALL...SONIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...IN
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA...WESTERN DURANGO...AND
SOUTHERN CHIHUAHUA.  THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...100 AM PST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
NNNN