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Tropical Storm SONIA (Text)

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SONIA ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182013
700 PM PST SUN NOV 03 2013
 
...SONIA WEAKENS A LITTLE AS IT APPROACHES MAINLAND MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 700 PM PST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...23.2N 108.1W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM E OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM SSW OF CULIACAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAZATLAN TO ALTATA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO
 
INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND ELSEWHERE IN WEST-CENTRAL
MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM PST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SONIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.1 WEST.  SONIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF SONIA SHOULD REACH THE COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY EARLY MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL SLIGHT WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE SONIA
REACHES THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO...AND RAPID WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED AFTER LANDFALL.  SONIA IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER
MEXICO ON MONDAY AFTERNOON.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA
TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY.
 
RAINFALL...SONIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...IN
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA...WESTERN DURANGO...AND
SOUTHERN CHIHUAHUA.  THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1000 PM PST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...100 AM PST.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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