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Hurricane RAYMOND (Text)

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE RAYMOND ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172013
200 PM PDT TUE OCT 22 2013
 
...RAYMOND BARELY A HURRICANE...
...HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL
MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 101.9W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAZARO CARDENAS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RAYMOND WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.9 WEST. RAYMOND IS
CURRENTLY STATIONARY. SLOW AND ERRATIC MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 12 HOURS...AND RAYMOND COULD STILL MOVE CLOSER TO THE
COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. A SLOW MOTION
TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.
 
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL
STORM ON WEDNESDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80
MILES...130 KM.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT IS 987
MB...29.15 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN
STATES OF GUERRERO AND MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA SOON. HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR IN
PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY IF THE CENTER OF
RAYMOND MOVES CLOSER TO THE COAST THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING
IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS. NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY RAYMOND ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE
INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
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