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Tropical Depression OCTAVE (Text)

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OCTAVE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152013
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 14 2013
 
...OCTAVE WEAKENING AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED...

 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.7N 112.1W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM N OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING. 
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT 
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA ...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
  
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OCTAVE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 12
TO 24 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OCTAVE OR ITS
REMNANTS WILL BE MOVING OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
AND THE SEA OF CORTES ON TUESDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND OCTAVE IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...OCTAVE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES
POSSIBLE...OVER THE MAINLAND MEXICO STATE OF SONORA. ADDITIONAL
RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH OCTAVE OVER
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH MAXIMUM
STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS STILL EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL
FLOODING NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. NEAR THE COAST...THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES.
 
SURF...SWELLS WILL CONTINUE AFFECT THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR BUT SHOULD SUBSIDE ON TUESDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
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