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Subtropical Storm MELISSA (Text)

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SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142013
2100 UTC TUE NOV 19 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N  53.7W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......240NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 600SE 600SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N  53.7W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.5N  54.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 34.9N  51.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...240NE 170SE 160SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 37.4N  46.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 180SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 40.1N  41.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 220SE 200SW 220NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 42.4N  35.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  90SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 300SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 47.0N  26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 210SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 53.5N  24.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.0N  53.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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