ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013 1500 UTC TUE SEP 10 2013 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 2 3 4 7 10 NA TROP DEPRESSION 14 14 17 20 20 21 NA TROPICAL STORM 85 77 70 64 61 58 NA HURRICANE 1 7 10 12 12 11 NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 1 7 9 10 11 10 NA HUR CAT 2 X X 1 1 1 1 NA HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X NA HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X NA HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40KT 45KT 45KT 45KT 45KT 45KT NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) X(28) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) X(29) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) X(27) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) X(28) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) X(28) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 33(36) X(36) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) X(21) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) X(11) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BERMUDA 34 56 24(80) 2(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) BERMUDA 50 4 13(17) 1(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) BERMUDA 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN NNNN
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