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Tropical Storm ROSA (Text)


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TROPICAL STORM ROSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172012
2100 UTC TUE OCT 30 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 116.7W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 116.7W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 116.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 14.6N 117.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 14.9N 118.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 15.0N 119.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.0N 119.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 14.5N 120.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 13.5N 122.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 13.5N 124.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 116.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:10:44 UTC