ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082012 0900 UTC SUN AUG 12 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 109.4W AT 12/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......130NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 109.4W AT 12/0900Z AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 18.7N 110.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...130NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.5N 111.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.4N 111.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.5N 112.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.4N 114.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 20.5N 116.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 21.5N 118.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 109.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:10:23 UTC