ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE FABIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062012 0900 UTC MON JUL 16 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 119.5W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 119.5W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 119.2W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.0N 120.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.3N 121.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.6N 121.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 23.0N 121.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.5N 120.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 26.5N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 119.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:10:19 UTC