ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE FABIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062012 1500 UTC SUN JUL 15 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 117.4W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......110NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..225NE 150SE 100SW 165NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 117.4W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 117.0W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.4N 118.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.3N 120.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.4N 121.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.6N 121.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.3N 121.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 25.2N 121.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 26.0N 121.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 117.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:10:19 UTC