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Hurricane CARLOTTA (Text)

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HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032012
1500 UTC FRI JUN 15 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO ACAPULCO.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE
PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO EAST OF SALINA CRUZ TO BARRA DE TONALA
* THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF TECPAN DE GALEANA TO
CABO CORRIENTES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CARLOTTA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  96.0W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  96.0W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  95.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.9N  96.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.9N  97.8W...NEAR COAST
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.4N  98.8W...NEAR COAST
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.6N  99.5W...NEAR COAST
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 16.5N 100.0W...NEAR COAST
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 16.0N  99.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 16.0N  99.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N  96.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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