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Hurricane MICHAEL (Text)


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HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
1500 UTC SUN SEP 09 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N  43.2W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 160SE 130SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N  43.2W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.7N  42.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 33.8N  43.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 34.0N  45.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 35.1N  47.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 38.1N  47.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 46.5N  44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.7N  43.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:09:35 UTC