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Tropical Depression SEVEN (Text)

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072012
800 AM AST SAT AUG 11 2012
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPROACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE SYSTEM...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.0N 57.5W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM ENE OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM E OF MARTINIQUE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* ST. LUCIA
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.5 WEST.
HOWEVER...PRELIMINARY DATA FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION COULD BE DEGENERATING INTO A TROPICAL
WAVE.  THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 24 MPH...39
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION OR ITS REMNANTS ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER THIS AFTERNOON
OR TONIGHT. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ALTHOUGH THE DEPRESSION COULD STILL BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
BEFORE REACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...THE CHANCES OF THIS
OCCURRING APPEAR TO BE DECREASING.  AFTER PASSING THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS...THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS IT ENCOUNTERS
UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON A METEO FRANCE BUOY IS
1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
 
RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE LESSER ANTILLES TODAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/AVILA
 
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