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Tropical Storm ERNESTO (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC WED AUG 08 2012

CORRECTED TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS. 
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO
TULUM...CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A HURRICANE WATCH FROM
BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS...AND DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTALA TO TUXPAN.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM BELIZE CITY TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO BARRA DE NAUTLA ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  90.4W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  90.4W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  89.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 18.7N  92.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.6N  94.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.5N  96.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.4N  97.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  90.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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