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TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042012
1500 UTC TUE JUN 26 2012
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED 2 9 16 24 27 26 28
TROP DEPRESSION 39 48 41 38 27 22 21
TROPICAL STORM 57 41 41 35 41 44 41
HURRICANE 1 2 3 3 5 8 10
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 1 2 3 3 5 7 9
HUR CAT 2 X X X X X 1 1
HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X 1
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35KT 35KT 30KT 30KT 35KT 40KT 45KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
SAVANNAH GA 34 1 X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
MAYPORT NS 34 2 4( 6) 6(12) 4(16) 2(18) 1(19) X(19)
MAYPORT NS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
JACKSONVILLE 34 3 3( 6) 6(12) 4(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 5 9(14) 9(23) 4(27) 3(30) X(30) 1(31)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ORLANDO FL 34 8 13(21) 7(28) 4(32) 1(33) 1(34) X(34)
ORLANDO FL 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 4 7(11) 8(19) 4(23) 3(26) X(26) 1(27)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
PATRICK AFB 34 4 7(11) 8(19) 4(23) 2(25) 1(26) 1(27)
PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
FT PIERCE FL 34 3 5( 8) 5(13) 4(17) 2(19) 1(20) 1(21)
W PALM BEACH 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 2(10) 1(11) 1(12)
MIAMI FL 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
MARATHON FL 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
KEY WEST FL 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MARCO ISLAND 34 3 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
FT MYERS FL 34 5 5(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) 1(13) X(13)
VENICE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TAMPA FL 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 6 1( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
ST MARKS FL 34 9 2(11) 2(13) X(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
APALACHICOLA 34 8 2(10) 1(11) X(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 11 2(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
COLUMBUS GA 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) 1(11)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:09:12 UTC