ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012 0300 UTC MON MAY 28 2012 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 7 17 26 31 30 33 TROP DEPRESSION 8 42 37 39 26 19 21 TROPICAL STORM 87 48 39 32 39 43 38 HURRICANE 5 3 8 3 4 8 8 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 4 3 7 3 4 6 7 HUR CAT 2 X X 1 X X 1 1 HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45KT 35KT 30KT 30KT 35KT 40KT 40KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) X(14) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 1(14) X(14) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 10(13) 1(14) X(14) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COLUMBIA SC 34 1 X( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) MYRTLE BEACH 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 10(16) 1(17) X(17) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 1 1( 2) 6( 8) 9(17) 7(24) X(24) X(24) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ATLANTA GA 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 6(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) SAVANNAH GA 34 5 3( 8) 15(23) 10(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MAYPORT NS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MAYPORT NS 50 53 1(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) MAYPORT NS 64 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) JACKSONVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) JACKSONVILLE 50 29 1(30) 3(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) JACKSONVILLE 64 2 X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DAYTONA BEACH 34 26 2(28) 6(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) ORLANDO FL 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) COCOA BEACH FL 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PATRICK AFB 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FT PIERCE FL 34 1 X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) VENICE FL 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TAMPA FL 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CEDAR KEY FL 34 1 7( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 1 8( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) ST MARKS FL 34 1 8( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) APALACHICOLA 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 290N 850W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PANAMA CITY FL 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COLUMBUS GA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) $$ FORECASTER AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:09:08 UTC