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Tropical Storm BERYL (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022012               
0300 UTC MON MAY 28 2012                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       7      17      26      31      30      33
TROP DEPRESSION  8      42      37      39      26      19      21
TROPICAL STORM  87      48      39      32      39      43      38
HURRICANE        5       3       8       3       4       8       8
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        4       3       7       3       4       6       7
HUR CAT 2        X       X       1       X       X       1       1
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   45KT    35KT    30KT    30KT    35KT    40KT    40KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   3(14)   X(14)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   1(14)   X(14)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  10(13)   1(14)   X(14)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  1   X( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)  10(16)   1(17)   X(17)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  1   1( 2)   6( 8)   9(17)   7(24)   X(24)   X(24)
CHARLESTON SC  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ATLANTA GA     34  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   6(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  5   3( 8)  15(23)  10(33)   2(35)   X(35)   X(35)
SAVANNAH GA    50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
SAVANNAH GA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
MAYPORT NS     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MAYPORT NS     50 53   1(54)   2(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
MAYPORT NS     64  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
JACKSONVILLE   50 29   1(30)   3(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
JACKSONVILLE   64  2   X( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34 26   2(28)   6(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  1   1( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
PATRICK AFB    34  1   1( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  1   X( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
VENICE FL      34  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
TAMPA FL       34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  1   7( 8)   3(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  1   8( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  1   8( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:09:08 UTC