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Subtropical Storm BERYL (Text)


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SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022012
2100 UTC SAT MAY 26 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  76.6W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  45SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  76.6W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  76.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 30.9N  77.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 30.4N  79.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 30.4N  81.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 30.9N  82.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 31.5N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 34.0N  77.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 38.0N  70.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N  76.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/FRANKLIN
 
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:09:05 UTC