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Tropical Storm BEATRIZ (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM BEATRIZ FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022011
1500 UTC MON JUN 20 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO NORTHWESTWARD TO LA FORTUNA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA NORTHWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA WESTWARD TO EAST OF ZIHUATANEJO
* FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA TO CABO CORRIENTES
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 102.9W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 180SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 102.9W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 102.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.1N 103.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.1N 104.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.0N 105.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.8N 106.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  55SW  55NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  70SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 20.0N 113.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 20.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 102.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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