ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011 0900 UTC TUE OCT 25 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA GRUESA...AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA TO CANCUN. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA TO CANCUN A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA GRUESA A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 83.6W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 75SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 83.6W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 83.5W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.4N 84.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.8N 85.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.3N 86.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.3N 86.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.5N 87.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 22.5N 85.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 22.5N 84.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 83.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH/LANDSEA NNNN
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