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Hurricane OPHELIA (Text)

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 PM AST FRI SEP 30 2011
 
...OPHELIA CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR NOAA
BUOY 41049 OVERNIGHT...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.2N 63.1W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.1 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H.  THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BRINGING THE CORE OF
OPHELIA EAST OF BERMUDA LATE SATURDAY.  A TURN TO THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY
DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL WEAKENING.  
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.  NOAA BUOY 41049...LOCATED ABOUT 90 MILES TO THE
NORTH OF OPHELIA...RECENTLY REPORTED A 1 MINUTE SUSTAINED WIND OF
45 MPH...72 KM/H...WITH A PEAK GUST TO 54 MPH...86 KM/H.  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA STARTING
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH-FACING BEACHES OF BERMUDA.
 
RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED
ON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
 
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