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Tropical Depression TWELVE (Text)

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122011
1500 UTC MON AUG 29 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.8N  27.5W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.8N  27.5W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.7N  27.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 10.3N  29.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 11.2N  31.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 12.3N  34.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 13.4N  37.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 15.0N  43.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 16.5N  48.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 18.5N  53.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.8N  27.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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