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Hurricane IRENE (Text)

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HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092011
1500 UTC FRI AUG 26 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS.
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD IN THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY TO DRUM POINT.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...AND CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM POINT.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SANDY HOOK TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING NEW YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND
SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND...BOSTON...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE RIVER INLET
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD INTO NEW
ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON.  INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
IRENE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N  77.3W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  946 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT.......125NE 105SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......250NE 200SE 130SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 330SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N  77.3W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  77.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 32.2N  77.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...125NE 105SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 130SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 34.4N  76.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...125NE 105SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 130SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 36.7N  75.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...125NE 105SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 130SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 39.5N  74.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  60NW.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 140SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 47.5N  68.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW   0NW.
34 KT...300NE 270SE 140SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 55.5N  57.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 59.0N  38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.7N  77.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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