ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO DISCUSSION NUMBER 35 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007 800 AM PDT TUE OCT 23 2007 THE DEPRESSION CONSISTS OF A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH A CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE CENTER. DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE CONTINUED TO DECREASE AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 25 KNOTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN DUE A COOLER OCEAN AND INCREASING WIND SHEAR. SO KIKO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 12 HOURS OR SO. KIKO IS MOVING WESTWARD OR 260 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS. SINCE THE DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO BECOME A SHALLOW SYSTEM...IT WILL LIKELY MOVE ON A GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK STEERED BY THE PREVAILING LOW-LEVEL FLOW UNTIL DISSIPATION. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/1500Z 18.6N 113.0W 25 KT 12HR VT 24/0000Z 18.5N 114.8W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 24/1200Z 18.5N 117.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 25/0000Z 19.0N 119.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 25/1200Z 19.5N 121.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 26/1200Z 21.5N 123.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:06 UTC