ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142007 800 PM PDT MON OCT 01 2007 THE DEEP CONVECTION STARTED SEPARATING FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER AT ABOUT 18Z. NO NEW CONVECTION HAS FIRED UP SINCE THEN...AND THE REMAINING COLD CLOUD TOPS ARE JUST CIRRUS DEBRIS RACING NORTHWARD. THE EXPOSED SWIRL DOES NOT PRESENTLY QUALIFY AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE... AND REDEVELOPMENT OF A MEANINGFUL AMOUNT OF DEEP CONVECTION APPEARS UNLIKELY...DUE TO CONTINUING STRONG SOUTHERLY SHEAR...AND SINCE THE UNDERLYING SSTS ARE QUICKLY COOLING AS THE SYSTEM PROCEEDS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OR 340/8. IN MARGINAL CIRCUMSTANCES WE MIGHT CONTINUE ADVISORIES AS A PRECAUTION...BUT IN THIS CASE THE CONDITIONS ARE SUCH THAT I AM COMFORTABLE MAKING THIS THE LAST ADVISORY ON JULIETTE. THE REMNANT LOW IS FORECAST TO DECELERATE AS IT CONTINUES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...UNTIL IT LIKELY DISSIPATES WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/0300Z 23.4N 115.8W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 02/1200Z 23.9N 116.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 03/0000Z 24.3N 116.1W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 03/1200Z 24.6N 116.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER KNABB NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:05 UTC