ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM GIL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102007 0900 UTC FRI AUG 31 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GIL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 189N 1179W 34 23 11(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) 12 189N 1179W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 189N 1179W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 190N 1200W 34 X 19(19) 10(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) 24 190N 1200W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 190N 1200W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 192N 1222W 34 X 1( 1) 18(19) 8(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) 36 192N 1222W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 36 192N 1222W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 197N 1243W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 4(22) 1(23) X(23) 48 197N 1243W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 197N 1243W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 205N 1285W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) 1(12) 72 205N 1285W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 205N 1285W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 205N 1325W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 96 205N 1325W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 96 205N 1325W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 205N 1365W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 120 205N 1365W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 205N 1365W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 35 35 35 30 25 25 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:01 UTC