ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION GIL DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102007 200 AM PDT SUN SEP 02 2007 AN EARLIER SSMI MICROWAVE OVERPASS AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE THAT DEEP CONVECTION...ALTHOUGH RELATIVELY SMALL IN COVERAGE...CONTINUES TO INTERMITTENTLY BURST OVER THE CIRCULATION CENTER. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE DECREASED TO 25 KT AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 25 KT. COOLER WATERS SHOULD INDUCE A WEAKENING CAUSING GIL TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS...FINALLY DISSIPATING IN 3 DAYS. THE ESTIMATED INITIAL MOTION IS A PERSISTENT 285/8...AND THE CYCLONE SHOULD CONTINUE IN THIS GENERAL MOTION WITHIN THE DEEP EASTERLIES UNTIL DISSIPATION. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/0900Z 19.5N 123.2W 25 KT 12HR VT 02/1800Z 19.8N 124.4W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 03/0600Z 20.2N 126.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 03/1800Z 20.5N 127.7W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 04/0600Z 20.5N 129.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 05/0600Z 20.5N 133.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:00 UTC