ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092007 1500 UTC THU AUG 09 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 11(23) 1(24) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 129N 1327W 34 79 9(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) 12 129N 1327W 50 17 14(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) 12 129N 1327W 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 24 131N 1350W 34 2 65(67) 13(80) X(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) 24 131N 1350W 50 X 25(25) 12(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) 24 131N 1350W 64 X 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 36 133N 1370W 34 X 15(15) 44(59) 12(71) 2(73) X(73) X(73) 36 133N 1370W 50 X 1( 1) 22(23) 8(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) 36 133N 1370W 64 X X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 48 135N 1390W 34 X 2( 2) 20(22) 26(48) 12(60) X(60) X(60) 48 135N 1390W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 5(23) 1(24) X(24) 48 135N 1390W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 72 140N 1430W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 7(33) 1(34) 72 140N 1430W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 72 140N 1430W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 96 150N 1475W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 3(16) 96 150N 1475W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 96 150N 1475W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 160N 1515W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 120 160N 1515W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 160N 1515W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 50 60 65 65 55 50 45 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:00 UTC