ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032007 200 PM PDT TUE JUN 12 2007 THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DETERIORATE AND THERE IS VERY LITTLE ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THE CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH AN ENVIRONMENT OF STABLE AIR AND COOLER WATERS SO DISSIPATION IS LIKELY TO OCCUR IN 12 HOURS OR SO. IN FACT...IF DEEP CONVECTION DOES NOT REDEVELOP SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...ADVISORIES COULD BE TERMINATED THIS EVENING. MY TRACK FORECAST REASONING REMAINS ABOUT THE SAME. CURRENT MOTION OF THE DEPRESSION IS AROUND 300/8. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS FORECAST AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE NORTH OF THE WEAKENING CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/2100Z 18.5N 114.1W 25 KT 12HR VT 13/0600Z 18.9N 115.3W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 13/1800Z 19.0N 116.9W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 14/0600Z 19.0N 118.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 14/1800Z 19.0N 120.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:56 UTC