ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162007
1500 UTC SUN OCT 28 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 4(11)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 4(13)
W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 6(12) 5(17)
MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 7(15) 5(20)
MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 7(14) 5(19)
KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 4(15)
MARCO ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 4(13)
FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 6(15)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) 5(18)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 7(19) 5(24)
ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 4(15) 5(20)
GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 5(14)
MAYAGUANA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 3(10)
GRAND TURK 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 7(15) 5(20)
HAVANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15) 5(20)
ISLE OF PINES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) 9(26) 4(30)
CIENFUEGOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9)
CIENFUEGOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 11(28) 3(31) 3(34)
CAMAGUEY 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X 5( 5) 12(17) 6(23) 3(26) 2(28) 1(29)
GUANTANAMO BAY 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 6(16) 4(20)
GRAND CAYMAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 10(19) 5(24) 4(28) 3(31)
MONTEGO BAY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)
KINGSTON 34 X 3( 3) 12(15) 5(20) 3(23) 3(26) 3(29)
KINGSTON 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)
LES CAYES 34 3 19(22) 4(26) 1(27) 2(29) 1(30) 1(31)
LES CAYES 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 1(11)
CAPE BEATA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 2( 5)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 170N 734W 34 19 11(30) 1(31) X(31) 1(32) 1(33) 1(34)
12 170N 734W 50 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
12 170N 734W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
24 180N 750W 34 1 23(24) 12(36) 1(37) 2(39) 1(40) 2(42)
24 180N 750W 50 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 1( 9)
24 180N 750W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 190N 765W 34 X 6( 6) 22(28) 8(36) 4(40) 2(42) 2(44)
36 190N 765W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) 1(10)
36 190N 765W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
48 200N 780W 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 17(27) 7(34) 5(39) 2(41)
48 200N 780W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 2(12) 1(13)
48 200N 780W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 210N 795W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 12(25) 8(33) 3(36)
72 210N 795W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) 1(12)
72 210N 795W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
96 220N 800W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 12(19) 9(28) 3(31)
96 220N 800W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
96 220N 800W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
120 240N 780W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 7(20) 5(25)
120 240N 780W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7)
120 240N 780W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 55 50 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:53 UTC