ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142007 0900 UTC SUN SEP 30 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 31.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 172N 330W 34 26 14(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) 12 172N 330W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 172N 330W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 183N 351W 34 1 17(18) 6(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) 24 183N 351W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 183N 351W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 193N 371W 34 X 2( 2) 12(14) 5(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) 36 193N 371W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 193N 371W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 205N 392W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 5(16) 1(17) X(17) 48 205N 392W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 205N 392W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 230N 425W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) X(11) 72 230N 425W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 230N 425W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 260N 445W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) 96 260N 445W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 96 260N 445W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 30 30 30 25 20 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:51 UTC