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HURRICANE DEAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
0900 UTC TUE AUG 21 2007
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 145
KTS...165 MPH...270 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
LA PESCO MX 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
TAMPICO MX 34 X 5( 5) 30(35) 10(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) 10(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
TAMPICO MX 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
TUXPAN MX 34 X 9( 9) 53(62) 9(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
TUXPAN MX 50 X 1( 1) 33(34) 7(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
TUXPAN MX 64 X X( X) 14(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
VERACRUZ MX 34 X 20(20) 47(67) 3(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
VERACRUZ MX 50 X 4( 4) 32(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
VERACRUZ MX 64 X 1( 1) 17(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
FRONTERA MX 34 11 64(75) 3(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
FRONTERA MX 50 2 29(31) X(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
FRONTERA MX 64 X 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
MERIDA MX 34 55 4(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
MERIDA MX 50 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
COZUMEL MX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BELIZE 34 91 X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
BELIZE 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GUANAJA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 191N 904W 34 94 4(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 191N 904W 50 83 8(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
12 191N 904W 64 46 16(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
24 196N 939W 34 5 78(83) 9(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
24 196N 939W 50 X 62(62) 13(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
24 196N 939W 64 X 31(31) 16(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
36 201N 968W 34 X 14(14) 59(73) 6(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
36 201N 968W 50 X 2( 2) 44(46) 5(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
36 201N 968W 64 X X( X) 24(24) 3(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
48 205N 1000W 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 13(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
48 205N 1000W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
48 205N 1000W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 85 95 105 25 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:43 UTC