ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
2100 UTC MON AUG 13 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
SAN JUAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10)
SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10)
SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 13(18)
BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8)
BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17)
ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8)
ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18)
GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10)
AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15)
DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16)
MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13)
SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11)
SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15)
BARBADOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
BARBADOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GRENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
PORT OF SPAIN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 118N 355W 34 16 9(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
12 118N 355W 50 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
12 118N 355W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 118N 385W 34 X 23(23) 10(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
24 118N 385W 50 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
24 118N 385W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 118N 416W 34 X 1( 1) 26(27) 9(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37)
36 118N 416W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
36 118N 416W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 121N 447W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 10(35) 1(36) X(36)
48 121N 447W 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11)
48 121N 447W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 130N 505W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 11(32) 2(34)
72 130N 505W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) 1(13)
72 130N 505W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
96 150N 560W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 9(31)
96 150N 560W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14)
96 150N 560W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
120 170N 610W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20)
120 170N 610W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9)
120 170N 610W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 60 75 90
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:43 UTC