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Hurricane DEAN (Text)

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HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007
1500 UTC TUE AUG 21 2007
 
AT 10 AM CDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DOWNGRADED THE HURRICANE
WARNING FOR BELIZE TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD FROM VERACRUZ TO TAMPICO. A HURRICANE
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM THE BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO
CANCUN. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF
PROGRESO WESTWARD TO TAMPICO. PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM NORTH OF TAMPICO TO LA PESCA.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF CANCUN TO PROGRESSO...AND
FROM NORTH OF TAMPICO TO LA PESCA.

AT 10 AM CDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED ALL REMAINING
WATCHES FOR CUBA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  89.6W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......210NE 210SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE   0SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  89.6W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  88.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.4N  92.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 100SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 20.0N  95.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.5N  98.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  70 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...120NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 21.0N 101.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N  89.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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