000 ABPZ30 KNHC 011529 TWSEP MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM PDT WED NOV 1 2006 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. FOUR TROPICAL CYCLONES FORMED DURING THE MONTH OF OCTOBER... TROPICAL STORMS NORMAN AND OLIVIA...HURRICANE PAUL...AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E. ON AVERAGE IN THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC BASIN...TWO TROPICAL STORMS DEVELOP DURING THE MONTH OF OCTOBER... WITH ONE BECOMING A HURRICANE. TROPICAL STORM NORMAN ORIGINATED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE THAT REACHED THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC ON 1 OCTOBER. THE WAVE MOVED WESTWARD AND FIRST SHOWED SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION ON 8 OCTOBER. THE SYSTEM SPAWNED A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON 9 OCTOBER ABOUT 645 N MI SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. THE CYCLONE BECAME A TROPICAL STORM LATER THAT DAY AS IT MOVED SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. NORMAN REACHED AN ESTIMATED PEAK INTENSITY OF 45 KT ON 10 OCTOBER...THEN WEAKENED TO A DEPRESSION LATER THAT DAY DUE TO SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE CYCLONE TURNED GENERALLY EASTWARD AND DEGENERATED TO A NON-CONVECTIVE REMNANT LOW ON 11 OCTOBER ABOUT 545 N MI SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS. THE REMNANTS OF NORMAN MOVED GENERALLY EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS...BECOMING INVOLVED WITH A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO. THIS LED TO NORMAN REGENERATING INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON 15 OCTOBER ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE CYCLONE WAS ABSORBED INTO THE LARGER DISTURBANCE LATER THAT DAY ABOUT 30 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF MANZANILLO. WHILE THE REGENERATED NORMAN PRODUCED LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...THERE WERE NO REPORTS OF CASUALTIES OR DAMAGES. TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA DEVELOPED FROM A WEST-AFRICAN TROPICAL WAVE THAT MOVED INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC ON 29 SEPTEMBER. THE WAVE MOVED WESTWARD AND DEVELOPED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATE ON 9 OCTOBER ABOUT 1180 N MI WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS. SHORTLY THEREAFTER...THE DEPRESSION TURNED NORTHWARD AND BECAME A TROPICAL STORM EARLY ON 10 OCTOBER. OLIVIA THEN MOVED NORTHEASTWARD AND REACHED AN ESTIMATED PEAK INTENSITY OF 40 KT LATE THAT SAME DAY. HOWEVER...INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR INDUCED RAPID WEAKENING...AND OLIVIA BECAME A DEPRESSION ON 11 OCTOBER ABOUT 905 N MI WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS. OLIVIA TURNED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AND GRADUALLY DEGENERATED INTO A REMNANT LOW EARLY ON 13 OCTOBER. BY 15 OCTOBER ITS REMNANTS WERE ABSORBED BY THE LARGE DISTURBANCE THAT INCLUDED THE REMNANTS OF NORMAN. THERE WERE NO REPORTS OF CASUALTIES OR DAMAGES ASSOCIATED WITH OLIVIA. HURRICANE PAUL FORMED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE THAT EMERGED OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA ON 4 OCTOBER. THE WAVE CROSSED CENTRAL AMERICA ON 18 OCTOBER AND MOVED INTO A PRE-EXISTING AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC THE NEXT DAY. THIS RESULTED IN A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM THE ITCZ NORTHWARD TO THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPED ON 20 OCTOBER...WHICH IS ESTIMATED TO HAVE BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION EARLY ON 21 OCTOBER ABOUT 230 N MI SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO. THE DEPRESSION STRENGTHENED INTO A TROPICAL STORM SHORTLY THEREAFTER. AS PAUL MOVED WESTWARD... EASTERLY SHEAR PREVENTED FURTHER DEVELOPMENT FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PAUL REACHED THE WESTERN END OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ON 22 OCTOBER...WHERE DECREASING SHEAR ALLOWED RAPID STRENGTHENING. PAUL BECAME A HURRICANE ON 23 OCTOBER AND REACHED AN ESTIMATED PEAK INTENSITY OF 95 KT LATER THAT DAY. PAUL TURNED NORTH LATE THAT DAY DUE TO A LARGE TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...AND WESTERLY SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH INDUCED WEAKENING. PAUL ACCELERATED NORTHEASTWARD ON 24 OCTOBER AS IT WEAKENED INTO A TROPICAL STORM. THE CENTER PASSED JUST SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM EARLY ON 25 OCTOBER...THEN WEAKENED INTO A DEPRESSION LATER THAT DAY. PAUL TURNED NORTHWARD WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AS IT APPROACHED THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO...THEN MOVED INLAND AND DISSIPATED EARLY ON 26 OCTOBER NEAR LA REFORMA MEXICO. REPORTS FROM THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO INDICATE THAT PAUL WAS RESPONSIBLE FOR THREE DEATHS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WAS A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL CYCLONE THAT FORMED ABOUT 135 N MI SOUTH OF MANZANILLO ON 26 OCTOBER. THE DEPRESSION MOVED SOUTHWESTWARD FOR A DAY OR SO AND ENCOUNTERED UNFAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL WINDS. ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY GRADUALLY DECREASED AND THE SYSTEM BECAME A REMNANT LOW EARLY ON 28 OCTOBER ABOUT 225 N MI SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THERE WERE NO REPORTS OF CASUALTIES OR DAMAGE. SUMMARY TABLE NAME DATES MAX WIND (KT) DEATHS ------------------------------------------------------------------- TS NORMAN 9-15 OCT 45 0 TS OLIVIA 9-12 OCT 40 0 H PAUL 21-26 OCT 95 3 TD EIGHTEEN-E 26-28 OCT 30 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------- NOTE...DATES BASED ON COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (UTC) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN/STEWART/RHOME/FRANKLIN/MAINELLI
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Wednesday, 01-Nov-2006 17:20:28 UTC